Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 105.445048 121.405821 140.299952 164.696147 195.945358 235.488780 2.908019e+02
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 90.920809 112.856854 142.120228 185.739237 252.566291 358.186660 5.565751e+02
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 77.105587 99.760496 132.116069 184.781384 275.745294 445.644227 8.601466e+02
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 67.974311 90.625109 124.649491 183.945360 297.036701 542.808183 1.334503e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 60.437646 82.316335 116.403697 178.932367 307.903537 627.005561 1.987264e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 55.138907 76.522576 110.940952 177.115822 324.252397 740.574300 3.253383e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 51.373617 72.568241 107.757484 178.604713 348.719321 907.380150 6.422491e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 47.224640 67.482985 101.814450 173.121667 353.835567 1018.123511 1.177413e+04
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 45.785451 66.671645 103.284506 183.442535 406.883440 1428.944047 9.440399e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 42.596485 62.557203 98.090487 177.816517 410.558263 1607.067010 2.247430e+06
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 40.534883 60.190870 95.894330 178.662662 436.123650 2012.108216 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 38.504445 57.693008 93.129343 177.552743 454.982621 2460.764492 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 37.510222 57.133122 94.492669 188.194938 531.346937 4173.486645 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 37.656360 58.692937 100.523130 213.740721 707.118509 13255.273683 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 35.727236 56.160752 97.455791 212.547905 751.439234 24235.615516 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 34.019251 53.896203 94.675680 211.518706 798.653669 54910.901000 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 32.157833 51.185955 90.578342 205.362036 808.342451 111643.478262 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 30.712858 49.183109 87.873064 203.135381 846.241937 634657.107849 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 29.630820 47.813289 86.471310 204.960237 921.520388 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.170887 45.589200 82.833273 198.247618 918.982333 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 27.832485 45.594233 84.498027 210.900341 1124.102894 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.557023 43.600886 81.096207 203.993994 1117.414355 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.746248 42.515093 79.833377 205.031294 1210.704842 NaN NaN